Magnificent 7 prediction markets, read straight off the chain
Polymarket runs a daily "Up or Down" binary market for each Magnificent 7 name — a new contract every trading day settling on whether the stock closes up or down. Across all seven, the trailing 12 months show $7.0M in combined one-sided notional across 248K fills, and every single name settles close to a coin flip. None of the seven has an equivalent stock-price market on Kalshi or Polymarket US today.
Company comparison
12-month notional volume and today's live implied "chance of closing up," ranked by company.
Volume over time
Daily notional volume across all seven companies, stacked, trailing 12 months.
Notable markets, any company
Biggest trading days, biggest upsets (market was confident right up to the end — and wrong), closest calls (still a coin flip until settlement), and the largest individual whale trades — across all seven companies.
| Company | Date | Notional | Trades |
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| Company | Market | Actual | Last quote: P(Up) |
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| Company | Market | Actual | Last quote: P(Up) |
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| Company | Market | Fill price | Notional |
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